Yesterday
I posted my predictions for the Oscar nominations. Here are the actuals for the big categories (you can get
the complete list here), and how my predix fared:
Best PictureBabelThe DepartedLetters from Iwo JimaLittle Miss SunshineThe Queen(4/5)
Letters from Iwo Jima is in,
Dreamgirls is out. The Dreamgirls snub surprised a lot of people, but it is the overall nomination leader. Some ask how it can happen, but I don't see on its face why it's so surprising that a movie can have technical merit and some good performances but still not be one of your five favorite movies of the year.
Best DirectorClint Eastwood,
Letters from Iwo JimaStephen Frears,
The QueenAlejandro González Iñárritu,
Babel
Paul Greengrass,
United 93Martin Scorsese,
The Departed(3/5) As above, in with the
Letters, out with the
Dreamgirls. I thought Frears would get dropped in favor of Greengrass instead of the Little Miss Sunshine duo. Anyway, good job, Academy, for nominating Paul Greengrass.
Best Original ScreenplayBabelLetters from Iwo JimaLittle Miss SunshinePan's LabyrinthThe Queen(3/5) I underestimated Clint's appeal (dumb move on my part), and
Pan's Labyrinth is the big foreign-language breakout, garnering a total of six nominations. Offhand, I remember that
Das Boot did the same, but I'm not sure if anyone's compiled a list of foreign-language films getting multiple nominations or otherwise making it out of their own category.
Ran and
Cyrano de Bergerac had five each. I suppose it's worth noting this year that the Mayan-language American production
Apocalypto had three nominations, the Japanese-language American production
Letters from Iwo Jima earned four nominations, and that Spain's
Volver and China's
Curse of the Golden Flower picked up single nominations without getting into the Best Foreign-Language Film race.
Best Adapted ScreenplayBoratChildren of MenThe DepartedLittle ChildrenNotes on a Scandal(2/5) I crapped out here, missing
Borat, Children of Men, and
Notes.Best ActorLeonardo DiCaprio,
Blood DiamondRyan Gosling,
Half NelsonPeter O'Toole,
VenusWill Smith,
The Pursuit of HappynessForest Whitaker,
The Last King of Scotland(4/5) OK, I did better here, missing Leo and thinking
Borat's nomination would come here rather than for writing.
Best ActressPenélope Cruz,
VolverJudi Dench,
Notes on a ScandalHelen Mirren,
The QueenMeryl Streep,
The Devil Wears PradaKate Winslet,
Little Children(5/5) This one was pretty easy, matching up with the Screen Actors' Guild nominations and without many viable spoiler candidates.
Best Supporting ActorAlan Arkin,
Little Miss SunshineJackie Earle Haley,
Little ChildrenDjimon Hounsou,
Blood DiamondEddie Murphy,
DreamgirlsMark Wahlberg,
The Departed(3/5) I had DiCaprio in the wrong category for the wrong movie.
Best Supporting ActressAdriana Barraza,
BabelCate Blanchett,
Notes on a ScandalAbigail Breslin,
Little Miss SunshineJennifer Hudson,
DreamgirlsRinko Kikuchi,
Babel(5/5) Not a whole lot of viable candidates to unseat the favorites here, either.
Overall: 29/40. Not all that great. Maybe if I'd seen more than a handful of these movies, I might have had a better idea of what they'd nominate, but then again, I still would have probably predicted
Dreamgirls for Best Picture along with everyone else.